What's gonna happen, priced by the market.
That's Gonna tracks prediction markets: live odds from Polymarket and Kalshi, daily biggest movers, and sourced news on regulation, platforms and volumes.
Today's biggest movers
Full movers report →| Market | Now | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?65%+ · Polymarket | <1% | −91 |
| How to Rob a Bank · Rotten Tomatoes scoreAbove 45 · Kalshi | 8% | −66 |
| Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...? OddsDecember 31, 2026 · Polymarket | 76% | +60 |
| US gas prices this week (On Nov 16, 2026)Above 3.8000 · Kalshi | 44% | −25 |
| Ebenezer · Rotten Tomatoes scoreAbove 35 · Kalshi | 72% | +17 |
| Gas prices in the US in Nov 2026? (On Nov 30, 2026)Above 3.70 · Kalshi | 17% | −15 |
Most traded markets
All markets →Economy & Fed · PolymarketJensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...? OddsDecember 31, 202786%+48Sports · KalshiWho will win the 2026 Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions? OddsJackson Koivun6%±0Economy & Fed · PolymarketFed Decision in December? Odds25 bps increase86%±0Sports · KalshiWho will win the 2027 Pro Football Championship? OddsBuffalo15%+1Politics · PolymarketWho will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee? OddsJon Ossoff27%±0Economy & Fed · KalshiFed decision in December 2026: Will the Fed cut 25bps? OddsHike 25bps86%+2Politics · PolymarketWho will win the 2028 US presidential election? OddsJon Ossoff17%±0Sports · KalshiWho will win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals (2026-27)? OddsSan Antonio21%−1Politics · PolymarketWho will be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee? OddsJ.D. Vance31%±0
Latest news
All news →Regulation · Nov 12, 2026CFTC examines whether Kalshi improperly self-certified event contractsThe CFTC is reportedly investigating whether Kalshi improperly self-certified event contracts, following an August directive to remove a sports-focused market; details of the probe remain unreported.Regulation · Nov 12, 2026Prediction markets show more than $50 million tied to Mississippi Senate raceKalshi and Polymarket together have more than $50 million in bets tied to Mississippi's U.S. Senate race, a sign of how large state-level election markets have become.Regulation · Nov 12, 2026Coinbase, Kalshi and Payward back CFTC in stock perpetuals case, a test for prediction marketsCoinbase, Kalshi and Payward want to file an amicus brief supporting CFTC authority over US single-stock perpetual futures, a case with wider implications for prediction markets.Analysis · Nov 12, 2026Robinhood Reports Record Equity Trading Day and Points to Prediction Markets GrowthRobinhood's brokerage chief said the company had its busiest equity trading day on record and described growth in prediction markets and AI trading, though the report gives no figures.Regulation · Nov 12, 2026Warren and Merkley Raise Ethics Concerns Over Trump Aide's Prediction Market BetsSens. Warren and Merkley have raised ethics concerns about a Trump aide's prediction market bets, following an August CFTC penalty over trades on Kalshi mention markets.
The market in numbers
- Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US together handled about $50.6 billion in trading volume in July 2026, a record month. Tangem News
- In April 2026, Bernstein projected prediction market volume could reach $1 trillion a year by 2030. InvestmentNews
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