Politics · Polymarket · Closes Nov 8, 2028
Who will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee? Odds
As of Nov 12, 2026 06:20 UTC, traders on Polymarket put Jon Ossoff at 27%, little changed over 24 hours. $1M traded in the last 24 hours; $1.3B in total.
- Jon Ossoff 27%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15%
- Gavin Newsom 10%
- Pete Buttigieg 5%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Ossoff | 27% | ±0 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 15% | ±0 |
| Gavin Newsom | 10% | −0.7 |
| Pete Buttigieg | 5% | ±0 |
| Kamala Harris | 5% | ±0 |
| Josh Shapiro | 5% | ±0 |
| Andy Beshear | 4% | ±0 |
| Raphael Warnock | 3% | ±0 |
| Ro Khanna | 2% | ±0 |
| Wes Moore | 2% | ±0 |
| James Talarico | 2% | ±0 |
| Mark Kelly | 2% | ±0 |
| J.B. Pritzker | 1% | ±0 |
| Rahm Emanuel | 0.9% | ±0 |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 0.9% | ±0 |
View the market on Polymarket ↗
About this market
This market asks who will win and accept the Democratic Party's nomination for U.S. president in 2028. Each listed person has their own Yes/No contract. A contract resolves to Yes if that individual wins and accepts the nomination, and to No otherwise. Resolution relies on a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. If the nominee is replaced after the nomination, for example before election day, the market's resolution does not change. The market is listed to close on 2028-11-08. Events that could move it in general include candidate announcements or withdrawals, primary polling, fundraising reports, endorsements, debate performances, state primary results, and major political or news developments affecting the party or individual candidates.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Who will be the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee?”?
At our last update (Nov 12, 2026 06:20 UTC), Polymarket traders priced Jon Ossoff at 27%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna.
When does this market close?
The market is listed to close on 2028-11-08.
How does this market resolve?
A named individual's contract resolves to Yes if that person wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for U.S. president, and to No otherwise. The resolution source is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, and any later replacement of the nominee before election day does not change the resolution.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.